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And so if you do this over two or three hours, most people become calibrated so that their probabilities are reliable.


Danny Hernandez on forecasting and the drivers of AI progress






You should have this measurement in your arguments.





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Then I became a data scientist, the kind of data scientist that produces evidence.





Yeah, you could think of it like analysts just negotiated for a better title when there were better tools that made them higher powered.



Danny Hernandez: And so yeah, I think research engineers look more like people who were in some other domain that they often were computer scientists or software engineers somewhere else.




Description: Danny Hernandez: Maybe I could describe some ways the communication is notable or something.

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Views: 3623 Date: 11.02.2022 Favorited: 34 favorites
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But you could think of it as just trying to be really rigorous, which is like another way of thinking about it.
Whereas chips that were made at large scale and that were for video games and for some other applications, but video games seem particularly important— Arden Koehler: Hence the graphics processing unit.
Like how many computers can I use at once to train the system?

Latest Comments

    +941reps
    So it was never quite expensive to make chips.
    By: Darcey
    +879reps
    So that thing I just described before where somebody launches a product and then they see what happens, they could have made a prediction.
    By: Burkitt
    +175reps
    They just have to introspect.
    By: Mandal
    +36reps
    His work focuses on measuring progress in artificial intelligence and the factors that drive it.
    By: Cara
    +54reps
    And then I think about where does that come from and what does that make me want to look into?
    By: Pistol
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